Friday, February 25, 2022

Russia invades Ukraine

 The inevitable finally happened.  After so many posturing, Russia finally invaded Ukraine and the theater of war is now at play.  Russia is at the top at the moment being the aggressor but if this becomes a protracted invasion, Ukraine might just give Russia a bloody nose.

Most Filipinos do not really care what happens in Eastern Europe.  The upcoming May elections and Covid 2019 pre-occupation are enough to overwhelm our limited concerns.  The drama locally is more compelling than the drama being played in faraway Europe.  The mirror of events seems asymmetrical.  Except  for the rising fuel prices which is affecting the entire planet - inflation will happen in a month or two with so many things in between that could still transpire.

But to make things more symmetrical, this equation is best summarized by a bigger power (but poorer country) land grabbing a weaker country (but a far richer country with better economic prospects).  Similar to Iraq, illegally occupying Kuwait in the 1990's.

Does it really matter that Ukraine is not a NATO member?  Officially, Ukraine is not a NATO member but a NATO ally.  Either way, the prices of fuel will bedevil the republic.  Add this to the unstable equation of May elections and Covid 2019 mismanagement and you have a lot to chew about.

Suppose China follows the playbook of Russia?  Just occupy and attack territories in the West Philippine Seas.  

Do we now turn again to the US for support? Or pivot to China and embrace its inevitable rape and plunder?

We really need to be more concern about the Ukraine situation for it might happen in the Philippines sooner than later. Besides, China already made its aggressive moves years ago by building artificial islands and illegally occupying them and hindering us Filipinos from fishing within our own exclusive economic zone.

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