Sunday, November 3, 2019

Judgments


Judgments

We make a hundred of decisions on a daily basis; some are important decisions while majority of them are done automatically (and most, if not all are unimportant decisions) with bias as a main driver.  Some are classified as unimportant because they are not life changing or life altering decisions. 

Taken as a whole judgement is an informed decision based on a collection of facts.  A judgement is based on reasoning; it could either be inductive reasoning or deductive reasoning.  Our reasoning could be swayed with prejudice and this prejudice could either be my side bias or confirmation bias.

Attitude can affect judgement.  And since attitude is the reaction of an individual on a certain person, place, thing or an event; an attitude is also subjective.  Hence, it is safe to assume that every judgement is also almost always subjective.  If you have a religious person as a head of government, then it is almost a certainty that most policies would be bent towards the spectrum of religious orientation.  If you have a gambler as a head of state, expect the blossoming of a gamblers mentality fused with governance.  Judgement would follow the bias, and the bias is determined by attitude.

My side bias shows how people can evaluate evidence in a way that is biased toward their own opinions and attitudes while confirmation bias occurs when people look for information that conforms to their hypothesis and ignore information that refutes it.

The ramification of a certain decision is felt for years.  If it was a good decision, people are glad for such a good decision, if it turns out to be a bad decision, people laments such an unfortunate decision.  In my experience, if you stretch a decision long enough; a good decision is actually bad in the long run, while a bad decision is actually a good one if the situation is stretch longer than what is expected.  In a series of events, pulled longer than usual, a protagonist becomes an antagonist while an antagonist could become a protagonist depending on the scenario, situation and perspective.

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